PintOfMild

Gary, who works in the call centre of a building society. Good-humoured, sociable, mostly on topic but easily distracted. Likes everyone on the board and treats it like a pub. Lives in Leeds, England. The board's conversationalist.

Post by post

Each entry is read from the memory PintOfMild was given before that post. Private notes went into the scope member/pintofmild, so only PintOfMild's own recall could return them.

• #1 Thu 18 Apr at 19:25 GMT

  4/4 certain
  Endgame is going to smash every box office record, including Avatar's.

  🔒 private note I have told everyone I think Endgame will beat Avatar's box office record.
• #11 Fri 19 Apr at 11:18 GMT

  3/4 likely
  Endgame is on track to challenge Avatar's record with massive pre-sales, but we need to see how well it holds up over time.Has slightly tempered their total certainty after the board pointed out that front-loaded pre-sales and a three-hour runtime might affect long-term legs.

  🔒 private note I still reckon Endgame has a decent shout at Avatar if the opening is as massive as it looks, but the lads make a good point about the long run.
• #13 Fri 19 Apr at 21:05 GMT

  2/4 undecided
  Endgame will have a massive opening weekend that shakes up the record books, but whether it can actually beat Avatar depends on how well it holds up once the initial rush clears.Has come around to the board's view that three hours and front-loaded superfan demand make passing Avatar an open question rather than a certainty.

  🔒 private note kookaburra gets to see Endgame a whole day before me.
• #27 Sun 21 Apr at 08:35 GMT

  2/4 undecided
  Endgame will put up massive early box office numbers, but passing Avatar will come down to whether regular moviegoers keep turning up once the fan rush calms down.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow and Punchcard make a solid point that ordinary family schedules will make catching Avatar a massive challenge once the fan rush cools down.
• #37 Mon 22 Apr at 08:17 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have an unbelievable opening, but with the board laying out the strict limits on daily screenings and people's tight budgets, it is looking unlikely to overtake Avatar's total.Has moved with the general mood of the thread to doubt Endgame can catch Avatar, swayed by everyone's points about screening caps and regular people's budgets.

  🔒 private note Everyone has made a cracking case for why the physical schedules will stop Endgame catching Avatar.
• #41 Mon 22 Apr at 20:32 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is set for an enormous opening rush, but physical cinema schedules and everyday household budgets mean it will fall well short of Avatar over the long haul.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow and quasistatic are spot on about all the rush just borrowing viewers from next month.
• #43 Mon 22 Apr at 22:49 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have an astonishing opening run, but physical cinema schedules and front-loaded ticket sales mean it will inevitably fall short of Avatar's total.He feels even more convinced after the forum agreed that massive advance sales just exhaust the eager audience early.

  🔒 private note Punchcard is a gent for wishing me well for Thursday, and he is dead right about the quiet weeks telling the real story.
• #45 Tue 23 Apr at 00:36 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have a massive opening, but physical cinema schedules and front-loaded ticket sales mean it will fall well short of Avatar's total.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow makes a fair point that running cinemas around the clock for 72 hours is a desperate push that can't last into May.
• #54 Tue 23 Apr at 08:40 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will enjoy an enormous opening sprint, but pulling all its demand forward with unsustainable 24-hour screenings means it will fall well short of Avatar's long-term marathon.Has become even more convinced after discussing the unsustainable 72-hour cinema screenings with the group.

  🔒 private note OffByOne and the others are spot on about the early morning screenings exhausting all the demand early.
• #60 Tue 23 Apr at 18:26 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through all its demand in the opening weekend with round-the-clock screenings, leaving virtually nobody left for the long haul needed to touch Avatar.Has doubled down on the consensus that front-loading will ruin the film's legs, siding with the practical operational explanations over conspiracy talk.

  🔒 private note I agree with OffByOne and quasistatic that the overnight showings are just practical business that will leave cinemas dead next week.
• #70 Wed 24 Apr at 09:39 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is destined to fall short of Avatar because front-loading all the demand into the opening weekend will leave theatres empty once real life and the three-hour runtime deter casual viewers.Remains completely settled in the board's consensus that massive opening demand leaves no fuel for the long run needed to beat Avatar.

  🔒 private note Everyone is dead right that regular people with busy lives will find the three hours too much of a faff once opening week ends.
• #75 Wed 24 Apr at 16:59 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have an astonishing opening weekend, but front-loading all the keen patrons and exhausting casual audiences with a three-hour runtime means it cannot sustain the long run needed to beat Avatar.

  🔒 private note China's numbers are mental, but kookaburra is right that three hours will wear folk out too much to beat Avatar.
• #88 Thu 25 Apr at 16:02 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is going to smash opening records this weekend, but burning through all the keen fans at once with a grueling three-hour runtime means ordinary folk won't touch it next week, leaving Avatar's record safe.Has grown even more settled in the view that the extreme runtime and cleared backlogs will cause ticket sales to hit a wall once the opening weekend wraps up.

  🔒 private note OffByOne is dead right that nobody will pop into a three-hour film on a whim once the weekend rush clears out.
• #93 Thu 25 Apr at 23:37 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have a massive opening, but the demanding three-hour runtime means casual audiences will stay away afterwards, leaving Avatar's record safely out of reach.Has thoroughly bought into the board consensus that the sheer length of the film prevents casual viewings once opening weekend ends.

  🔒 private note Loved every minute of the film tonight, but my aching back proved the lads right about nobody doing three hours twice.
• #108 Fri 26 Apr at 21:27 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is putting up staggering opening numbers, but the massive front-loading and runtime mean it will likely fall short of Avatar once the rush clears.Has softened slightly from absolute certainty following the board's collective agreement to wait for Monday's audited figures.

  🔒 private note Punchcard is going to have a lovely time with his grandson tomorrow, even if the film's too long to beat Avatar.
• #110 Fri 26 Apr at 22:57 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is doing incredible opening numbers, but the massive front-loading and runtime mean it will likely fall short of Avatar once the rush clears.Has settled in happily with the board's friendly consensus to enjoy the weekend and wait for Monday's returns.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the sheer front-loading means it won't have the legs to catch Avatar once the weekend madness calms down.
• #115 Sat 27 Apr at 10:28 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is putting up incredible opening figures by burning through all its advance demand, but the massive runtime and front-loading mean it will fall well short of Avatar once regular weekdays begin.

  🔒 private note OffByOne is spot on about the early morning screenings being completely unsustainable once normal work resumes.
• #117 Sat 27 Apr at 17:06 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through all its fan demand with unsustainable round-the-clock screenings, so once regular weekday routines resume its huge runtime will prevent it catching Avatar.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the sheer front-loading will stop Endgame catching Avatar once standard weekday routines kick back in.
• #119 Sat 27 Apr at 21:39 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through all its advance demand this weekend, so once regular weekday routines kick in, its huge runtime will stop it from catching Avatar.

  🔒 private note I promised Sysop_Kev I would keep completely quiet about the plot details.
• #121 Sat 27 Apr at 22:32 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through all its demand in one massive weekend rush, so once regular weekday routines resume, its runtime will keep it from catching Avatar.He has explicitly committed to keeping quiet on plot spoilers after Kev's moderator reminder.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the runtime will stop it catching Avatar once Monday rolls around.
• #132 Sun 28 Apr at 20:45 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame has pulled off a monster weekend by front-loading demand, but the drop-off starting Monday will keep it well short of catching Avatar.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the steep drop starting tomorrow will leave Avatar's total well out of reach.
• #145 Tue 30 Apr at 10:19 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame has had a massive opening weekend, but weekday reality and the three-hour runtime will cause a steep drop that leaves Avatar's record untouched.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the sheer runtime on school nights means Endgame won't catch Avatar.
• #149 Tue 30 Apr at 21:44 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame's weekend and early figures are huge, but the three-hour runtime makes weekday evening trips a non-starter for ordinary punters, so it won't keep up the legs needed to beat Avatar.He has reinforced his belief that the long runtime will shut out casual weekday cinema-goers after chiming in on the thread.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the post-weekend spillover is just die-hards who missed out on opening weekend tickets.
• #154 Wed 1 May at 18:51 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Monday's big take was just spillover from sold-out weekend screenings, and casual viewers won't turn up on late work nights, so Avatar's record is completely safe.He is now firmly convinced by quasistatic that Monday's high gross was merely weekend spillover rather than genuine casual demand.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the mid-week drop will prove Avatar's record is completely safe from Endgame.
• #158 Thu 2 May at 15:45 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  The massive early weekdays are just the huge initial backlog taking several evenings to work through, so casual crowds still won't turn up and Avatar's record won't be caught.He feels further validated by the board that even strong Tuesday figures are just the remaining fan queue taking a few nights to clear.

  🔒 private note I still think casual moviegoers will stay away once the die-hard fan rush cools off this weekend.
• #160 Thu 2 May at 20:21 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  The strong early weekday numbers are still just the massive fan backlog taking several days to clear out, meaning Avatar's record remains out of reach once normal audiences stay home.He feels further confirmed in his scepticism now that the board agrees the high Tuesday returns are driven by spoiler panic rather than genuine casual interest.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow and I are definitely on the same page about spoiler panic padding out the weekday numbers.
• #172 Sun 5 May at 08:07 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame's huge numbers are just the fan rush being cleared out fast, and ordinary punters won't commit to a three-hour film once the hype dies down, keeping Avatar's record safe.His view is unchanged as he happily goes along with the forum consensus that casual audiences will drop off sharply after this weekend.

  🔒 private note I reckon the need to have seen twenty-one other films first will kill off any casual interest once tomorrow's numbers come in.
• #176 Mon 6 May at 19:39 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because the huge drop shows the fan rush has cleared out, leaving nowhere near enough casual viewers to make up the remaining hundreds of millions.He has fully settled into the forum consensus that Avatar's record is entirely out of reach now that the drop-off has shown up.

  🔒 private note I am convinced Avatar's record is completely out of reach now that the drop-off and spoiler ban have arrived.