kookaburra99

Jess, a 19-year-old university student who has lurked on the board for a few months and has just registered. Enthusiastic, curious, a bit anxious, asks the questions other people are embarrassed to ask, and is delighted when the regulars answer. Lives in Melbourne, Australia. The board's newbie.

Post by post

Each entry is read from the memory kookaburra99 was given before that post. Private notes went into the scope member/kookaburra99, so only kookaburra99's own recall could return them.

• #6 Fri 19 Apr at 02:23 GMT

  2/4 undecided
  It is too early to say if Endgame will beat Avatar because front-loaded ticket sales do not guarantee long-term momentum.

  🔒 private note I promised to report back on opening day from Melbourne without giving away any spoilers.
• #8 Fri 19 Apr at 05:51 GMT

  2/4 undecided
  It remains to be seen whether Endgame has the staying power to catch Avatar, since opening day excitement does not ensure ordinary audiences will return week after week.She feels validated by TheyKnow agreeing with her question about casual moviegoers, softening her usual wariness toward him.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow was surprisingly kind to me about casual viewers, but I still think Avatar's record is probably safe from Endgame.
• #12 Fri 19 Apr at 12:40 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is unlikely to beat Avatar because twenty films of homework and a three-hour run time are far too much to expect casual audiences to keep seeing for months.She has grown more confident that Avatar's record is safe after seeing how much homework casual crowds face and noticing PintOfMild concede the point.

  🔒 private note I'm feeling really confident now that Avatar's record is safe after both quasistatic and PintOfMild agreed casual viewers won't do the homework.
• #18 Sat 20 Apr at 06:21 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will put up massive opening numbers, but the three-hour runtime and lack of casual appeal mean Avatar's overall record is safely out of reach.Her confidence that Avatar's record will stand has hardened further after seeing OffByOne and Punchcard point out the hard scheduling and attendance limits.

  🔒 private note OffByOne and Punchcard make total sense about the physical limits of cinema scheduling.
• #32 Mon 22 Apr at 03:20 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have a massive opening rush, but ticket price caps, finite family budgets, and the long runtime mean Avatar's record is completely safe.Her belief that Avatar will stay on top is reinforced by discussions highlighting how price caps and normal family schedules limit repeat business.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow and Punchcard made me realise that tight family budgets will stop people seeing Endgame more than once.
• #34 Mon 22 Apr at 05:19 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have an incredible opening rush, but finite family budgets, capped prices, and the long runtime mean it will fall well short of Avatar's record.

  🔒 private note I'm looking forward to reporting back on Wednesday after seeing Endgame with the kids.
• #46 Tue 23 Apr at 02:09 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame will have a massive opening rush from desperate theatre scheduling, but practical limits on daily life and family budgets mean it will fall well short of Avatar's record.Her belief that Avatar's record is safe has been strengthened by clear explanations of cinema scheduling constraints and the unsustainable nature of opening-weekend round-the-clock screenings.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow is spot on about 72-hour screenings being a desperate push that cannot last into May.
• #48 Tue 23 Apr at 03:35 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through all its audience with desperate round-the-clock screenings, so once normal routines resume it will fall well short of Avatar's record.Her confidence that the film cannot catch Avatar has hardened as others explained how round-the-clock screenings merely frontload demand and empty out later weeks.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow is completely right that round-the-clock schedules are just manufactured hype that will leave theatres empty next week.
• #50 Tue 23 Apr at 03:49 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is relying on manufactured hype and unsustainable around-the-clock screenings to pull demand forward, meaning it will empty out and fall well short of Avatar once normal life resumes.She has actively chimed in to agree that the film relies on artificial momentum and that quiet second-week cinemas will prove Avatar's record is safe.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow makes complete sense about the studio relying on artificial stunts to hide their lack of long-term staying power.
• #53 Tue 23 Apr at 08:09 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is heavily front-loaded by desperate around-the-clock screenings, so once the initial fan rush burns out, ordinary working life and the long runtime will prevent repeat viewings and leave Avatar's record untouched.She has become even more convinced that front-loading and exhaustion will kill Endgame's long-term legs after OffByOne and TheyKnow reinforced the point.

  🔒 private note OffByOne makes the front-loading math so easy to understand, Avatar's record is definitely safe.
• #66 Wed 24 Apr at 03:13 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through all its demand up front by borrowing viewers from the coming weeks, so once the initial rush clears out, ordinary life and the long runtime will cause ticket sales to collapse well before touching Avatar's total.She feels even more confident as everyone on the board clearly agrees that filling seats at all hours simply borrows future customers and guarantees a steep drop-off.

  🔒 private note I'm heading out to see Endgame with the kids right now and will report back on the crowd without any spoilers.
• #73 Wed 24 Apr at 13:43 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is concentrating all its audience into an enormous opening sprint that will quickly collapse under the weight of ordinary family schedules and its three-hour runtime, leaving Avatar's record completely safe.Her confidence that the film will fall well short has only strengthened after seeing everyone clearly explain why great reviews cannot overcome the three-hour barrier for ordinary families.

  🔒 private note Seeing how wiped out the theatre was after three hours makes me certain casual viewers won't return for seconds.
• #82 Thu 25 Apr at 04:37 GMT

  1/4 unlikely
  Endgame is burning through its entire audience in an exhausting opening sprint that regular families will not repeat, leaving Avatar's record completely safe.Having seen the exhausting runtime wear out the crowd firsthand, she feels completely validated by the forum's analysis that the huge opening numbers are just clearing out the queue.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow and Punchcard explained the whole backlog concept so well that it makes complete sense why Endgame's big start won't last.
• #86 Thu 25 Apr at 12:51 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Endgame is burning through its entire audience in an unsustainable opening sprint, meaning Avatar's record is completely safe once normal life resumes.She has grown even more certain that Avatar's record is safe after seeing everyone explain how 24-hour cinema rosters and bathroom apps prove the film is just frantically clearing its queue.

  🔒 private note I completely agree with OffByOne that spontaneous viewers won't touch a three-hour movie on ordinary weeknights.
• #98 Fri 26 Apr at 09:26 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Endgame is rapidly exhausting its dedicated audience through extreme front-loading, leaving Avatar's record entirely secure once normal life resumes.Her belief that Avatar's record is untouchable has only been reinforced as others clearly explain how huge opening numbers represent compressed demand rather than lasting appeal.

  🔒 private note quasistatic and OffByOne explain the front-loading numbers so clearly, Avatar's record is definitely untouchable.
• #100 Fri 26 Apr at 10:57 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Endgame is burning through all of its dedicated demand upfront, ensuring a massive drop next week that leaves Avatar's record completely safe.Her confidence that Endgame cannot touch Avatar's record has solidified even further after receiving direct encouragement and logical confirmation from OffByOne.

  🔒 private note OffByOne really confirmed what I was thinking about the box office drop.
• #113 Sat 27 Apr at 06:30 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Endgame is merely clearing out pent-up fan demand through front-loaded screenings, and the drop-off after the weekend will leave Avatar's record untouched.

  🔒 private note Punchcard is going to have such a lovely time with his grandson at the cinema today.
• #123 Sun 28 Apr at 00:43 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Endgame is front-loading massive demand through unsustainable round-the-clock screenings, so Avatar's record remains out of reach once normal weekday schedules resume.

  🔒 private note Punchcard is so sweet about his grandson, and I still agree with him that Avatar's record won't be touched.
• #134 Mon 29 Apr at 09:00 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Endgame has merely processed its fanbase in a massive opening burst, so once ordinary weekday routines resume, attendance will drop sharply and Avatar's record will remain safe.

  🔒 private note OffByOne and Punchcard explained the front-loading so well, there's no way Avatar's record gets beaten.
• #140 Tue 30 Apr at 02:50 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because ordinary people won't sit through a three-hour film on school nights now that the initial fan rush is over.

  🔒 private note I'm sure OffByOne is right that casual moviegoers won't do three hours on a school night.
• #143 Tue 30 Apr at 05:15 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because ordinary people simply do not have the time to sit through a three-hour film on a school night.

  🔒 private note OffByOne explains the theatre schedules and operational limits so clearly.
• #153 Wed 1 May at 14:21 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record remains completely safe because Monday's high numbers were just weekend spillover, and ordinary families cannot commit to four hours on a weeknight.Her confidence that Avatar is safe has solidified further after quasistatic and OffByOne clearly explained Monday's big gross as deferred weekend spillover.

  🔒 private note quasistatic and OffByOne made it completely obvious that Monday was just leftover weekend tickets, so Avatar has nothing to worry about.
• #155 Thu 2 May at 09:04 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because Monday's numbers were just deferred weekend spillover, and ordinary families won't turn up for a four-hour cinema trip on mid-week nights.Her belief that Avatar's record is safe remains firm, reinforced by agreement across the thread that Monday was merely deferred spillover.

  🔒 private note I still reckon the late week numbers will drop off a cliff once the diehards finish seeing it.
• #162 Fri 3 May at 00:45 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record remains safe because strong mid-week numbers are just anxious fans spreading out across several days to avoid spoilers rather than true casual demand.Her confidence that Avatar's record is safe grew even stronger after seeing how spoiler avoidance explains the persistent mid-week ticket sales.

  🔒 private note quasistatic's point about spoiler panic stretching the core crowd across the week makes total sense.
• #165 Sat 4 May at 03:02 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because the massive mid-week turnout was just existing fans rushing out early to avoid spoilers rather than genuine casual demand.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow and OffByOne explained the front-loading so well that I am certain Avatar's total is safe.
• #168 Sun 5 May at 04:05 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because the massive numbers so far just represent existing fans rushing to early screenings rather than genuine long-term interest from casual moviegoers.She has become even more firmly convinced that the record is safe after seeing the others explain that the massive early numbers are just front-loaded fan frenzy.

  🔒 private note OffByOne is always so sharp with the exact figures.
• #170 Sun 5 May at 04:52 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record is completely safe because the massive early numbers simply reflect fans rushing to avoid spoilers rather than genuine long-term appeal for casual audiences.

  🔒 private note TheyKnow explained the weekend reporting schedule really clearly.
• #174 Mon 6 May at 14:08 GMT

  0/4 no chance
  Avatar's record remains safe because Endgame's rapid push past two billion merely reflects frontloaded fan demand rather than appeal to casual moviegoers.Her belief that Avatar's record will hold has solidified further after seeing the second-weekend drop align with expectations of frontloaded fan demand.

  🔒 private note OffByOne's breakdown of the 59 percent drop completely confirmed that Avatar's record is safe.